Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.233710 0.264913 0.298213 0.336335 0.378711 0.424309 0.477027
2025-09-21 0.190102 0.231635 0.278767 0.336004 0.403415 0.480053 0.573537
2025-09-28 0.159371 0.206818 0.263597 0.336109 0.425759 0.532437 0.668407
2025-10-05 0.138547 0.190188 0.254963 0.341408 0.452866 0.590765 0.773181
2025-10-12 0.123812 0.178807 0.250760 0.350606 0.484176 0.655126 0.888616
2025-10-19 0.109780 0.166268 0.243137 0.353718 0.506717 0.708634 0.992471
2025-10-26 0.099678 0.157717 0.239585 0.361263 0.534785 0.770134 1.109495
2025-11-02 0.091992 0.151585 0.238477 0.371538 0.566578 0.837714 1.237700
2025-11-09 0.082243 0.141132 0.229875 0.369834 0.580580 0.880661 1.333223
2025-11-16 0.074054 0.132111 0.222387 0.368785 0.594861 0.924047 1.430764
2025-11-23 0.066825 0.123784 0.215068 0.367098 0.607569 0.965188 1.526355
2025-11-30 0.062387 0.119592 0.213819 0.374562 0.634334 1.027986 1.656309
2025-12-07 0.056680 0.112777 0.207955 0.374561 0.650052 1.075944 1.768077
2025-12-14 0.051663 0.106623 0.202611 0.374892 0.666134 1.125079 1.883866
2025-12-21 0.047226 0.101022 0.197668 0.375387 0.682289 1.174869 2.002734
2025-12-28 0.044088 0.097527 0.196088 0.381441 0.707858 1.240636 2.149555
2026-01-04 0.041829 0.095492 0.196927 0.391704 0.740993 1.319985 2.321392
2026-01-11 0.038884 0.091725 0.194185 0.395202 0.762438 1.380866 2.465505
2026-01-18 0.036796 0.089500 0.194142 0.403561 0.792741 1.457671 2.638821
2026-01-25 0.035212 0.088168 0.195686 0.414913 0.828879 1.545744 2.834291
2026-02-01 0.032341 0.083676 0.190547 0.413045 0.840716 1.592435 2.961379
2026-02-08 0.029811 0.079651 0.185985 0.411894 0.853647 1.641351 3.093912
2026-02-15 0.027448 0.075727 0.181271 0.410037 0.864995 1.687739 3.223586